Main
Women's Bantamweight
Raquel Pennington vs Marion Reneau
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Raquel Pennington
Marion Reneau
81%
19%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 0"
68"
32
Age
Δ 11y
43
16-11
Career record
Δ 12 pp
9-9-1
L1
Current streak
L2
12
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Pennington: 107 sig / 1 TD ·
Reneau: 46 sig / 2 TD
Raquel Pennington
Marion Reneau
72
Sig strikes landed
47
129
Sig strikes attempted
114
93
Total strikes landed
70
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.9
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
219s
Control time
98s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
25%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Raquel Pennington
"Rocky"
16-11
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
12 fights · 7-5
Last 5
L
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie …
—
L
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
—
W
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor
—
Blue corner
L2
Marion Reneau
"The Belizean Bruiser"
9-9-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
43
In our database
10 fights · 5-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Str…
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Ga…
—