Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Cortney Casey vs Gillian Robertson
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Cortney Casey
Gillian Robertson
24%
76%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 4"
63"
33
Age
Δ 8y
25
11-10
Career record
Δ 13 pp
17-9
W1
Current streak
L1
11
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Casey: 22 sig / 0 TD ·
Robertson: 21 sig / 3 TD
Cortney Casey
Gillian Robertson
35
Sig strikes landed
40
99
Sig strikes attempted
92
54
Total strikes landed
63
0.2
Takedowns landed
2.0
0.6
Takedowns attempted
4.7
0.00
Knockdowns
0.00
55s
Control time
264s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
49%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Cortney Casey
"Cast Iron"
11-10
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
11 fights · 5-6
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Ve…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ga…
—
L
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
—
Blue corner
L1
Gillian Robertson
"The Savage"
17-9
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weid…
—
W
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. An…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. T…
—