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Prelims1 Light Heavyweight

Jamahal Hill vs Klidson Abreu

UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Jamahal Hill
Klidson Abreu
55% 45%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 5"
74"
29
Age
Δ 2y
27
13-4
Career record
Δ 1 pp
15-5
W1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Overturned · Round 1
Hill: 14 sig / 0 TD · Abreu: 5 sig / 0 TD
Jamahal Hill
Klidson Abreu
47
Sig strikes landed
49
114
Sig strikes attempted
104
66
Total strikes landed
57
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.7
1.4
Takedowns attempted
4.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.00
38s
Control time
122s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
6%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Jamahal Hill

"Sweet Dreams"
13-4 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
79"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Do…
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Blue corner
L1

Klidson Abreu

"White Bear"
15-5 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Katt…
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W UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
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L UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
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