Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Daniel Rodriguez
Gabe Green
70%
30%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
33
Age
Δ 6y
27
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Rodriguez: 175 sig / 1 TD ·
Green: 127 sig / 0 TD
Daniel Rodriguez
Gabe Green
56
Sig strikes landed
35
122
Sig strikes attempted
88
69
Total strikes landed
43
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.3
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
65s
Control time
63s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Daniel Rodriguez
"D-Rod"
21-5
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. B…
—
Blue corner
Gabe Green
"Gifted"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
27