Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Katlyn Cerminara vs Antonina Shevchenko
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Katlyn Cerminara
Antonina Shevchenko
70%
30%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 1"
67"
31
Age
Δ 4y
36
18-7
Career record
Δ 1 pp
11-4
L1
Current streak
W1
9
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Cerminara: 73 sig / 3 TD ·
Shevchenko: 25 sig / 0 TD
Katlyn Cerminara
Antonina Shevchenko
58
Sig strikes landed
57
138
Sig strikes attempted
117
87
Total strikes landed
76
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.4
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
139s
Control time
103s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Katlyn Cerminara
"Blonde Fighter"
18-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
—
W
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
—
W
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—
L
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Po…
—
Blue corner
W1
Antonina Shevchenko
"La Pantera"
11-4
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ol…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
—