Main
Women's Strawweight
Mackenzie Dern vs Hannah Cifers
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Mackenzie Dern
Hannah Cifers
77%
23%
Why
63"
Reach
Δ 1"
62"
27
Age
Δ 1y
28
16-6
Career record
Δ 17 pp
10-8
L1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Dern: 5 sig / 0 TD ·
Cifers: 7 sig / 0 TD
Mackenzie Dern
Hannah Cifers
51
Sig strikes landed
44
122
Sig strikes attempted
104
84
Total strikes landed
57
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.2
3.8
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
196s
Control time
31s
Method
Decision
73%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Mackenzie Dern
16-6
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
—
W
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
—
W
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
—
Blue corner
L1
Hannah Cifers
"Shockwave"
10-8
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Do…
—
W
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
—
W
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie …
—