Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Roosevelt Roberts
Brok Weaver
60%
40%
Why
73"
Reach
73"
26
Age
Δ 2y
28
13-6
Career record
Δ 4 pp
16-6
W1
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Roberts: 40 sig / 1 TD ·
Weaver: 14 sig / 0 TD
Roosevelt Roberts
Brok Weaver
19
Sig strikes landed
23
53
Sig strikes attempted
54
33
Total strikes landed
30
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.8
4.1
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
167s
Control time
73s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Roosevelt Roberts
"The Predator"
13-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Katt…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
—
Blue corner
W1
Brok Weaver
"Chata Tuska"
16-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. B…
—