Back to UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris
Prelims1 Featherweight

Giga Chikadze vs Irwin Rivera

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris ·Vystar Veterans Memorial Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Giga Chikadze
Irwin Rivera
69% 31%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 7"
67"
32
Age
Δ 0y
31
W2
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Chikadze: 61 sig / 1 TD · Rivera: 34 sig / 0 TD
Giga Chikadze
Irwin Rivera
49
Sig strikes landed
32
114
Sig strikes attempted
80
59
Total strikes landed
57
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.6
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
124s
Control time
96s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Giga Chikadze

"Ninja"
16-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
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W UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
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Blue corner

Irwin Rivera

"The Beast"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31