Prelims1
Middleweight
Anthony Hernandez vs Kevin Holland
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris
·Vystar Veterans Memorial Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Anthony Hernandez
Kevin Holland
52%
48%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 6"
81"
27
Age
Δ 1y
28
16-3
Career record
Δ 20 pp
29-16
W1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Hernandez: 0 sig / 0 TD ·
Holland: 14 sig / 0 TD
Anthony Hernandez
Kevin Holland
34
Sig strikes landed
48
70
Sig strikes attempted
93
53
Total strikes landed
72
1.5
Takedowns landed
1.2
4.3
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
166s
Control time
148s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Anthony Hernandez
"Fluffy"
16-3
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zh…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. M…
—
Blue corner
L1
Kevin Holland
"Trailblazer"
29-16
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weid…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Th…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ng…
—
L
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrand…
—