Main
Featherweight
Song Yadong vs Marlon Vera
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris
·Vystar Veterans Memorial Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Song Yadong
Marlon Vera
70%
30%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
22
Age
Δ 5y
28
23-9-2
Career record
Δ 3 pp
24-12-1
D1
Current streak
W5
5
UFC fights in our DB
13
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Yadong: 101 sig / 0 TD ·
Vera: 92 sig / 2 TD
Song Yadong
Marlon Vera
51
Sig strikes landed
50
110
Sig strikes attempted
107
60
Total strikes landed
59
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
105s
Control time
78s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
D1
Song Yadong
"Kung Fu Kid"
23-9-2
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
In our database
5 fights · 4-0
Last 5
D
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ro…
—
W
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ng…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edw…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Ga…
—
Blue corner
W5
Marlon Vera
"Chito"
24-12-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
28
In our database
13 fights · 9-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
—
W
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. P…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponz…
—
W
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrand…
—