Back to UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris
Main Middleweight

Eryk Anders vs Krzysztof Jotko

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris ·Vystar Veterans Memorial Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Eryk Anders
Krzysztof Jotko
39% 61%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
77"
33
Age
Δ 2y
31
19-9
Career record
Δ 13 pp
25-6
W2
Current streak
W2
9
UFC fights in our DB
12

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Anders: 41 sig / 0 TD · Jotko: 66 sig / 0 TD
Eryk Anders
Krzysztof Jotko
43
Sig strikes landed
50
96
Sig strikes attempted
111
57
Total strikes landed
66
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.6
Takedowns attempted
4.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
118s
Control time
161s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
9%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Eryk Anders

"Ya Boi"
19-9 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database 9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
—
L UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
—
L UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
—
L UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. An…
—
Blue corner
W2

Krzysztof Jotko

25-6
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database 12 fights · 8-4
Last 5
W UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
—
W UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ol…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ga…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. B…
—
L UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
—