Main
Featherweight
Dan Ige vs Edson Barboza
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris
·Vystar Veterans Memorial Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Dan Ige
Edson Barboza
64%
36%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
75"
29
Age
Δ 5y
34
20-11
Career record
Δ 3 pp
24-15
W5
Current streak
L2
6
UFC fights in our DB
22
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Ige: 79 sig / 1 TD ·
Barboza: 80 sig / 0 TD
Dan Ige
Edson Barboza
50
Sig strikes landed
48
109
Sig strikes attempted
110
71
Total strikes landed
64
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.3
3.2
Takedowns attempted
0.8
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
141s
Control time
43s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Dan Ige
"100K"
20-11
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Th…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquin…
—
W
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
—
Blue corner
L2
Edson Barboza
"Junior"
24-15
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
22 fights · 14-8
Last 5
L
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquin…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee
—
L
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
—