Main
Women's Strawweight
Claudia Gadelha vs Angela Hill
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris
·Vystar Veterans Memorial Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Claudia Gadelha
Angela Hill
82%
18%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 1"
64"
31
Age
Δ 4y
35
19-5
Career record
Δ 24 pp
20-16
W1
Current streak
W3
10
UFC fights in our DB
14
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Gadelha: 84 sig / 1 TD ·
Hill: 90 sig / 0 TD
Claudia Gadelha
Angela Hill
80
Sig strikes landed
67
189
Sig strikes attempted
137
107
Total strikes landed
91
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.3
5.0
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
205s
Control time
61s
Method
Decision
79%
KO/TKO
13%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Claudia Gadelha
"Claudinha"
19-5
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
W
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
—
L
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
—
W
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs…
—
W
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway
—
Blue corner
W3
Angela Hill
"Overkill"
20-16
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
14 fights · 7-7
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hoo…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
L
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
—