Prelims1
Featherweight
Hunter Azure vs Brian Kelleher
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira
·Vystar Veterans Memorial Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Hunter Azure
Brian Kelleher
59%
41%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 3"
66"
28
Age
Δ 6y
34
10-2
Career record
Δ 22 pp
25-16
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Azure: 62 sig / 0 TD ·
Kelleher: 29 sig / 0 TD
Hunter Azure
Brian Kelleher
42
Sig strikes landed
42
110
Sig strikes attempted
94
56
Total strikes landed
49
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.3
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
74s
Control time
147s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Hunter Azure
10-2
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gae…
—
Blue corner
W1
Brian Kelleher
"Boom"
25-16
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Switch
Age
34
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
—
L
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
—
L
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Ti…
—