Prelims1
Lightweight
Gabriel Benitez vs Omar Morales
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira
·Vystar Veterans Memorial Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Gabriel Benitez
Omar Morales
61%
39%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
32
Age
Δ 3y
35
23-14
Career record
Δ 13 pp
12-4
L1
Current streak
W1
8
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Benitez: 50 sig / 0 TD ·
Morales: 63 sig / 0 TD
Gabriel Benitez
Omar Morales
35
Sig strikes landed
27
81
Sig strikes attempted
86
48
Total strikes landed
46
0.3
Takedowns landed
2.1
0.6
Takedowns attempted
5.0
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
50s
Control time
169s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Gabriel Benitez
"Moggly"
23-14
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
L
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—
L
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Jo…
—
Blue corner
W1
Omar Morales
"Venezuelan Fighter"
12-4
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—