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Main Heavyweight

Andrei Arlovski vs Philipe Lins

UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira ·Vystar Veterans Memorial Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Andrei Arlovski
Philipe Lins
40% 60%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 1"
78"
41
Age
Δ 7y
35
L1
Current streak
—
17
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Arlovski: 50 sig / 0 TD · Lins: 41 sig / 0 TD
Andrei Arlovski
Philipe Lins
46
Sig strikes landed
46
90
Sig strikes attempted
92
57
Total strikes landed
60
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.8
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
80s
Control time
133s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
8%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Andrei Arlovski

"The Pitbull"
34-25 (2 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
41
In our database 17 fights · 7-9
Last 5
L UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
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W UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
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L UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
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L UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Olein…
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L UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
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Blue corner

Philipe Lins

"Monstro"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35