Main
Bantamweight
Ricky Simon vs Ray Borg
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira
·Vystar Veterans Memorial Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ricky Simon
Ray Borg
73%
27%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 6"
63"
28
Age
Δ 1y
27
22-8-1
Career record
Δ 3 pp
14-5
L2
Current streak
W2
5
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Simon: 67 sig / 7 TD ·
Borg: 47 sig / 0 TD
Ricky Simon
Ray Borg
31
Sig strikes landed
23
73
Sig strikes attempted
56
57
Total strikes landed
45
1.5
Takedowns landed
2.1
2.6
Takedowns attempted
7.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
160s
Control time
236s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Ricky Simon
22-8-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ro…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs…
—
W
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
—
W
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrand…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee
—
Blue corner
W2
Ray Borg
"The Tazmexican Devil"
14-5
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
11 fights · 7-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. B…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
—
L
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Ga…
—