Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Mike Perry
Mickey Gall
69%
31%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 3"
74"
29
Age
Δ 0y
28
14-9
Career record
Δ 8 pp
8-7
L2
Current streak
W1
12
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Perry: 76 sig / 1 TD ·
Gall: 55 sig / 0 TD
Mike Perry
Mickey Gall
42
Sig strikes landed
33
65
Sig strikes attempted
78
50
Total strikes landed
42
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.0
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
118s
Control time
119s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Mike Perry
"Platinum"
14-9
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
12 fights · 6-6
Last 5
L
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie …
—
W
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier
—
Blue corner
W1
Mickey Gall
8-7
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Switch
Age
28
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
L
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
—
L
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
—
W
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
—