Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Gian Villante
Maurice Greene
58%
42%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 4"
80"
35
Age
Δ 1y
34
17-15
Career record
Δ 0 pp
9-8
L1
Current streak
L2
15
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Villante: 72 sig / 0 TD ·
Greene: 63 sig / 0 TD
Gian Villante
Maurice Greene
46
Sig strikes landed
50
91
Sig strikes attempted
108
57
Total strikes landed
48
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.0
0.9
Takedowns attempted
0.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
83s
Control time
12s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
61%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Gian Villante
17-15
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
15 fights · 7-8
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. S…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Mor…
—
W
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Ga…
—
Blue corner
L2
Maurice Greene
"The Crochet Boss"
9-8
Career record
Height
79"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos …
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
—