Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Makwan Amirkhani
Danny Henry
56%
44%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
32
Age
Δ 0y
32
17-10
Career record
Δ 8 pp
12-5
L1
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Amirkhani: 2 sig / 1 TD ·
Henry: 6 sig / 0 TD
Makwan Amirkhani
Danny Henry
22
Sig strikes landed
23
44
Sig strikes attempted
46
33
Total strikes landed
38
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.5
4.6
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
188s
Control time
63s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Makwan Amirkhani
"Mr. Finland"
17-10
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
L
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. T…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. And…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bispi…
—
Blue corner
L1
Danny Henry
"The Hatchet"
12-5
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Vol…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Pon…
—