Prelims1
Welterweight
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos vs Muslim Salikhov
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
·Flash Forum
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Muslim Salikhov
61%
39%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
34
Age
Δ 2y
36
26-10-1
Career record
Δ 9 pp
23-6
W1
Current streak
W3
10
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Zaleski dos Santos: 46 sig / 0 TD ·
Salikhov: 40 sig / 0 TD
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Muslim Salikhov
48
Sig strikes landed
37
123
Sig strikes attempted
92
55
Total strikes landed
41
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.0
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
70s
Control time
48s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
"Capoeira"
26-10-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
10 fights · 8-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zh…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. An…
—
W
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
—
Blue corner
W3
Muslim Salikhov
"King of Kung Fu"
23-6
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
—
W
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ga…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Ga…
—