Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Volkan Oezdemir vs Jiri Prochazka
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
·Flash Forum
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Volkan Oezdemir
Jiri Prochazka
22%
78%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 5"
80"
31
Age
Δ 3y
28
W2
Current streak
—
8
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Oezdemir: 41 sig / 0 TD ·
Prochazka: 33 sig / 0 TD
Volkan Oezdemir
Jiri Prochazka
45
Sig strikes landed
45
96
Sig strikes attempted
103
61
Total strikes landed
58
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
98s
Control time
110s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Volkan Oezdemir
"No Time"
22-8
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. S…
—
L
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
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Blue corner
Jiri Prochazka
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28