Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Jessica Andrade
Rose Namajunas
65%
35%
Why
62"
Reach
Δ 3"
65"
29
Age
Δ 1y
28
26-16
Career record
Δ 1 pp
15-9
L1
Current streak
L1
16
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Andrade: 71 sig / 1 TD ·
Namajunas: 82 sig / 0 TD
Jessica Andrade
Rose Namajunas
68
Sig strikes landed
55
132
Sig strikes attempted
132
92
Total strikes landed
71
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.1
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
164s
Control time
90s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jessica Andrade
"Bate Estaca"
26-16
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
16 fights · 11-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zh…
—
W
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
—
W
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs…
—
Blue corner
L1
Rose Namajunas
"Thug"
15-9
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
—
W
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta
—
W
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
—
L
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley
—