Back to UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo
Prelims1 Women's Bantamweight

Julia Avila vs Gina Mazany

UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Julia Avila
Gina Mazany
72% 28%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 0"
68"
32
Age
Δ 0y
32
10-4
Career record
Δ 21 pp
7-7
W1
Current streak
L2
1
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Avila: 11 sig / 0 TD · Mazany: 2 sig / 0 TD
Julia Avila
Gina Mazany
42
Sig strikes landed
29
96
Sig strikes attempted
64
84
Total strikes landed
45
2.2
Takedowns landed
0.5
4.3
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
279s
Control time
93s
Method
Decision
72%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Julia Avila

"Raging Panda"
10-4
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
—
Blue corner
L2

Gina Mazany

"Danger"
7-7
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database 4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
—
L UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. T…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Ga…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Brow…
—