Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Andre Fili
Charles Jourdain
52%
48%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 5"
69"
30
Age
Δ 6y
24
25-14
Career record
Δ 4 pp
19-8-1
L1
Current streak
W1
14
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Fili: 44 sig / 5 TD ·
Jourdain: 62 sig / 0 TD
Andre Fili
Charles Jourdain
66
Sig strikes landed
61
161
Sig strikes attempted
135
77
Total strikes landed
69
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.4
3.2
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
87s
Control time
39s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Andre Fili
"Touchy"
25-14
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
14 fights · 8-6
Last 5
L
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
—
W
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Ve…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
—
Blue corner
W1
Charles Jourdain
"Air"
19-8-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Switch
Age
25
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—