Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Cody Stamann
Brian Kelleher
70%
30%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
31
Age
Δ 3y
34
21-8-2
Career record
Δ 7 pp
25-16
D1
Current streak
W2
6
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Stamann: 89 sig / 2 TD ·
Kelleher: 57 sig / 1 TD
Cody Stamann
Brian Kelleher
58
Sig strikes landed
51
116
Sig strikes attempted
111
81
Total strikes landed
62
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.1
3.2
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
135s
Control time
89s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
D1
Cody Stamann
"The Spartan"
21-8-2
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
6 fights · 4-1
Last 5
D
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ro…
—
W
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
—
L
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
—
W
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
—
W
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
—
Blue corner
W2
Brian Kelleher
"Boom"
25-16
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Switch
Age
34
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teix…
—
W
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
—
L
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
—
L
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
—