Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Neil Magny
Anthony Rocco Martin
68%
32%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 6"
74"
33
Age
Δ 2y
30
32-15
Career record
Δ 7 pp
18-6
W1
Current streak
W1
21
UFC fights in our DB
14
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Magny: 64 sig / 0 TD ·
Martin: 37 sig / 1 TD
Neil Magny
Anthony Rocco Martin
55
Sig strikes landed
46
111
Sig strikes attempted
103
81
Total strikes landed
63
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.8
2.4
Takedowns attempted
4.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
77s
Control time
236s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Neil Magny
"The Haitian Sensation"
32-15
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
21 fights · 15-6
Last 5
W
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponz…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. T…
—
W
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
—
L
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
Blue corner
W1
Anthony Rocco Martin
18-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
14 fights · 9-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Katt…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—
W
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
—