Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Felice Herrig vs Virna Jandiroba
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Felice Herrig
Virna Jandiroba
19%
81%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 1"
64"
36
Age
Δ 4y
32
14-11
Career record
Δ 30 pp
24-4
L2
Current streak
W1
8
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Herrig: 1 sig / 0 TD ·
Jandiroba: 4 sig / 1 TD
Felice Herrig
Virna Jandiroba
27
Sig strikes landed
35
75
Sig strikes attempted
80
49
Total strikes landed
64
0.7
Takedowns landed
2.3
1.8
Takedowns attempted
5.7
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
129s
Control time
258s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
46%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Felice Herrig
"Lil Bulldog"
14-11
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
L
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
—
L
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta
—
W
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. T…
—
Blue corner
W1
Virna Jandiroba
"Carcara"
24-4
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ro…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
—