Main
Heavyweight
Junior Dos Santos vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Junior Dos Santos
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
57%
43%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 1"
78"
36
Age
Δ 4y
32
21-10
Career record
Δ 0 pp
15-7
L2
Current streak
L1
18
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Dos Santos: 24 sig / 0 TD ·
Rozenstruik: 42 sig / 0 TD
Junior Dos Santos
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
49
Sig strikes landed
41
93
Sig strikes attempted
93
55
Total strikes landed
49
0.1
Takedowns landed
0.1
0.6
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.50
13s
Control time
29s
Method
Decision
14%
KO/TKO
84%
Submission
3%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Junior Dos Santos
"Cigano"
21-10
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
18 fights · 12-6
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Do…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—
Blue corner
L1
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
"Bigi Boy"
15-7
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
L
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ro…
—
W
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Th…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. M…
—