Main
Lightweight
Renato Moicano vs Damir Hadzovic
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira
·Ginasio Nilson Nelson
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Renato Moicano
Damir Hadzovic
78%
22%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
31
Age
Δ 3y
34
21-8-1
Career record
Δ 9 pp
14-9
L2
Current streak
L1
8
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Moicano: 1 sig / 1 TD ·
Hadzovic: 1 sig / 0 TD
Renato Moicano
Damir Hadzovic
52
Sig strikes landed
37
109
Sig strikes attempted
91
71
Total strikes landed
50
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.5
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
72s
Control time
72s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Renato Moicano
21-8-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Th…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. M…
—
W
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrand…
—
W
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta
—
L
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
—
Blue corner
L1
Damir Hadzovic
"The Bosnian Bomber"
14-9
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. An…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—