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Johnny Walker vs Nikita Krylov

UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira ·Ginasio Nilson Nelson
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Johnny Walker
Nikita Krylov
40% 60%
Why
82"
Reach
Δ 4"
78"
28
Age
28
22-11
Career record
Δ 5 pp
31-12
L1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
12

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Walker: 37 sig / 0 TD · Krylov: 45 sig / 3 TD
Johnny Walker
Nikita Krylov
28
Sig strikes landed
22
51
Sig strikes attempted
34
39
Total strikes landed
34
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.1
0.4
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
59s
Control time
166s
Method
Decision
17%
KO/TKO
57%
Submission
26%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Johnny Walker

22-11 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
82"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
—
W UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
—
W UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. M…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponz…
—
Blue corner
L1

Nikita Krylov

"The Miner"
31-12
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 12 fights · 7-5
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gae…
—
W UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
—
L UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Olein…
—
L UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis
—
W UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley
—