Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Mayra Bueno Silva vs Maryna Moroz
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira
·Ginasio Nilson Nelson
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Mayra Bueno Silva
Maryna Moroz
52%
48%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 0"
67"
29
Age
Δ 0y
28
11-7-1
Career record
Δ 9 pp
12-6
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Bueno Silva: 88 sig / 0 TD ·
Moroz: 139 sig / 2 TD
Mayra Bueno Silva
Maryna Moroz
37
Sig strikes landed
42
108
Sig strikes attempted
88
51
Total strikes landed
55
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.5
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
110s
Control time
136s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Mayra Bueno Silva
"Sheetara"
11-7-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. An…
—
Blue corner
W1
Maryna Moroz
"Iron Lady"
12-6
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
—