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Prelims1 Flyweight

Bruno Silva vs David Dvorak

UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira ·Ginasio Nilson Nelson
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Bruno Silva
David Dvorak
35% 65%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 4"
68"
30
Age
Δ 2y
28
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Silva: 45 sig / 3 TD · Dvorak: 67 sig / 0 TD
Bruno Silva
David Dvorak
32
Sig strikes landed
42
73
Sig strikes attempted
87
45
Total strikes landed
57
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
127s
Control time
141s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
21%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Bruno Silva

"Bulldog"
15-8-2 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 1 fight · 0-0
Blue corner

David Dvorak

"Undertaker"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28