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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Rani Yahya vs Enrique Barzola

UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira ·Ginasio Nilson Nelson

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Rani Yahya
Enrique Barzola
57% 43%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
36
Age
Δ 5y
31
28-13-1
Career record
Δ 1 pp
17-6-2
L1
Current streak
L1
16
UFC fights in our DB
9

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Majority · Round 3
Yahya: 24 sig / 2 TD · Barzola: 57 sig / 1 TD
Rani Yahya
Enrique Barzola
36
Sig strikes landed
46
96
Sig strikes attempted
103
59
Total strikes landed
75
1.9
Takedowns landed
1.1
6.8
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
233s
Control time
149s
Method
Decision
76%
KO/TKO
11%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Rani Yahya

28-13-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database 16 fights · 11-4
Last 5
L UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
W UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
W UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
W UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Mor…
L UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Ga…
Blue corner
L1

Enrique Barzola

"El Fuerte"
17-6-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
W UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
L UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
W UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
W UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou