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Prelims1 Women's Bantamweight

Veronica Hardy vs Bea Malecki

UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira ·Ginasio Nilson Nelson
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Veronica Hardy
Bea Malecki
60% 40%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 10"
74"
24
Age
Δ 4y
29
11-5-1
Career record
Δ 19 pp
5-1
W1
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Hardy: 93 sig / 0 TD · Malecki: 130 sig / 0 TD
Veronica Hardy
Bea Malecki
33
Sig strikes landed
28
120
Sig strikes attempted
65
54
Total strikes landed
51
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.5
4.0
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
140s
Control time
195s
Method
Decision
23%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
62%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Veronica Hardy

11-5-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
24
In our database 4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
W UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
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L UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
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L UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
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L UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. B…
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Blue corner
W1

Bea Malecki

5-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
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