Prelims1
Welterweight
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos vs Aleksei Kunchenko
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira
·Ginasio Nilson Nelson
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Aleksei Kunchenko
58%
42%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
33
Age
Δ 3y
36
25-11-1
Career record
Δ 19 pp
20-3
L1
Current streak
L1
9
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Zaleski dos Santos: 62 sig / 2 TD ·
Kunchenko: 57 sig / 0 TD
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Aleksei Kunchenko
62
Sig strikes landed
47
153
Sig strikes attempted
118
73
Total strikes landed
70
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
84s
Control time
71s
Method
Decision
77%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
"Capoeira"
25-11-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
9 fights · 7-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zh…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. An…
—
W
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ma…
—
Blue corner
L1
Aleksei Kunchenko
20-3
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Olein…
—