Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Amanda Ribas vs Randa Markos
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira
·Ginasio Nilson Nelson
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Amanda Ribas
Randa Markos
83%
17%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
64"
26
Age
Δ 8y
35
14-7
Career record
Δ 19 pp
12-12-1
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
13
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ribas: 85 sig / 1 TD ·
Markos: 36 sig / 1 TD
Amanda Ribas
Randa Markos
53
Sig strikes landed
45
130
Sig strikes attempted
112
83
Total strikes landed
61
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.8
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
225s
Control time
102s
Method
Decision
76%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Amanda Ribas
14-7
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
—
Blue corner
W1
Randa Markos
"Quiet Storm"
12-12-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
13 fights · 6-6
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
—
L
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. P…
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. An…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Po…
—