Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Giga Chikadze
Jamall Emmers
41%
59%
Why
74"
Reach
74"
32
Age
Δ 1y
31
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Chikadze: 38 sig / 0 TD ·
Emmers: 54 sig / 2 TD
Giga Chikadze
Jamall Emmers
45
Sig strikes landed
42
98
Sig strikes attempted
104
62
Total strikes landed
56
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.0
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
96s
Control time
130s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Giga Chikadze
"Ninja"
16-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
Blue corner
Jamall Emmers
"Pretty Boy"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31