Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Batgerel Danaa
Guido Cannetti
78%
22%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
31
Age
Δ 10y
40
12-6
Career record
Δ 14 pp
10-9
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Danaa: 17 sig / 0 TD ·
Cannetti: 11 sig / 0 TD
Batgerel Danaa
Guido Cannetti
37
Sig strikes landed
51
106
Sig strikes attempted
103
60
Total strikes landed
61
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.7
1.7
Takedowns attempted
6.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
106s
Control time
182s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Batgerel Danaa
"Storm"
12-6
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zh…
—
Blue corner
L1
Guido Cannetti
"Ninja"
10-9
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
40
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponz…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. C…
—
W
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
—
L
UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt
—