Prelims1
Middleweight
Rodolfo Vieira vs Saparbeg Safarov
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Rodolfo Vieira
Saparbeg Safarov
65%
35%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 5"
78"
30
Age
Δ 3y
33
12-5
Career record
Δ 6 pp
10-3
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Vieira: 5 sig / 2 TD ·
Safarov: 5 sig / 0 TD
Rodolfo Vieira
Saparbeg Safarov
32
Sig strikes landed
23
65
Sig strikes attempted
47
62
Total strikes landed
45
2.7
Takedowns landed
0.6
6.6
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
299s
Control time
121s
Method
Decision
63%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Rodolfo Vieira
12-5
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
—
Blue corner
W1
Saparbeg Safarov
10-3
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
—
L
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdu…
—