Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Brian Kelleher
Ode Osbourne
60%
40%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 7"
73"
33
Age
Δ 5y
28
L2
Current streak
—
6
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Kelleher: 7 sig / 1 TD ·
Osbourne: 9 sig / 0 TD
Brian Kelleher
Ode Osbourne
43
Sig strikes landed
44
88
Sig strikes attempted
95
58
Total strikes landed
52
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.0
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
141s
Control time
112s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Brian Kelleher
"Boom"
24-17
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Switch
Age
33
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
—
L
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Ti…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Ga…
—
Blue corner
Ode Osbourne
"The Jamaican Sensation"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28