Main
Women's Bantamweight
Holly Holm vs Raquel Pennington
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Holly Holm
Raquel Pennington
52%
48%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
38
Age
Δ 7y
31
15-8
Career record
Δ 2 pp
17-10
L1
Current streak
W1
10
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Holm: 30 sig / 0 TD ·
Pennington: 38 sig / 1 TD
Holly Holm
Raquel Pennington
50
Sig strikes landed
61
125
Sig strikes attempted
121
79
Total strikes landed
92
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.8
Takedowns attempted
3.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
155s
Control time
165s
Method
Decision
79%
KO/TKO
13%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Holly Holm
"The Preacher's Daughter"
15-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
38
In our database
10 fights · 5-5
Last 5
L
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
—
W
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
—
L
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Corre…
—
L
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
—
Blue corner
W1
Raquel Pennington
"Rocky"
17-10
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
11 fights · 7-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie …
—
L
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
—
W
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor
—
W
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
—