Back to UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo
Prelims1 Featherweight

Jordan Griffin vs TJ Brown

UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo ·Chartway Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Jordan Griffin
TJ Brown
68% 32%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
30
Age
Δ 0y
30
L2
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Griffin: 15 sig / 0 TD · Brown: 32 sig / 7 TD
Jordan Griffin
TJ Brown
44
Sig strikes landed
42
94
Sig strikes attempted
89
64
Total strikes landed
56
1.6
Takedowns landed
1.0
4.1
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
200s
Control time
103s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Jordan Griffin

"Native Psycho"
18-10
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gae…
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L UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquin…
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Blue corner

TJ Brown

"Downtown"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
30