Back to UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz
Prelims1 Welterweight

Tim Means vs Daniel Rodriguez

UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz ·Santa Ana Star Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Tim Means
Daniel Rodriguez
54% 46%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
36
Age
Δ 3y
33
W1
Current streak
—
20
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Means: 41 sig / 1 TD · Rodriguez: 49 sig / 0 TD
Tim Means
Daniel Rodriguez
54
Sig strikes landed
45
107
Sig strikes attempted
99
64
Total strikes landed
60
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.5
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
61s
Control time
143s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Tim Means

"The Dirty Bird"
34-17-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database 20 fights · 11-8
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ro…
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L UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos …
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W The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
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L UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. An…
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L UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tyb…
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Blue corner

Daniel Rodriguez

"D-Rod"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33