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Lando Vannata vs Yancy Medeiros

UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz ·Santa Ana Star Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Lando Vannata
Yancy Medeiros
56% 44%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
76"
28
Age
Δ 4y
32
12-9-2
Career record
Δ 10 pp
15-9
L1
Current streak
L2
8
UFC fights in our DB
13

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Vannata: 99 sig / 0 TD · Medeiros: 68 sig / 0 TD
Lando Vannata
Yancy Medeiros
41
Sig strikes landed
40
90
Sig strikes attempted
96
50
Total strikes landed
53
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.0
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
53s
Control time
69s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Lando Vannata

"Groovy"
12-9-2
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 8 fights · 2-4
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
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W UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
—
D UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis
—
L UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier
—
D UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
—
Blue corner
L2

Yancy Medeiros

15-9 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 13 fights · 6-6
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dil…
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L UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Me…
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W UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
—
W UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway
—
W UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
—