Prelims1
Bantamweight
John Dodson vs Nathaniel Wood
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz
·Santa Ana Star Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
John Dodson
Nathaniel Wood
21%
79%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 3"
69"
35
Age
Δ 9y
27
22-13
Career record
Δ 17 pp
24-6
L2
Current streak
W3
15
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Dodson: 39 sig / 0 TD ·
Wood: 46 sig / 1 TD
John Dodson
Nathaniel Wood
48
Sig strikes landed
52
111
Sig strikes attempted
133
57
Total strikes landed
69
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.3
0.9
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
30s
Control time
135s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
John Dodson
"The Magician"
22-13
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
15 fights · 9-6
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
L
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
—
W
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pe…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lo…
—
Blue corner
W3
Nathaniel Wood
"The Last Kingsman"
24-6
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
—
W
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Mor…
—