Prelims1
Lightweight
Jim Miller vs Scott Holtzman
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz
·Santa Ana Star Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jim Miller
Scott Holtzman
76%
24%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
36
Age
Δ 0y
36
40-19
Career record
Δ 4 pp
15-6
W2
Current streak
W1
28
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Miller: 58 sig / 0 TD ·
Holtzman: 88 sig / 1 TD
Jim Miller
Scott Holtzman
32
Sig strikes landed
49
76
Sig strikes attempted
95
42
Total strikes landed
73
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.2
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
56s
Control time
192s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Jim Miller
"A-10"
40-19
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database
28 fights · 16-11
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquin…
—
W
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee
—
Blue corner
W1
Scott Holtzman
"Hot Sauce"
15-6
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Ve…
—
W
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lo…
—