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Prelims1 Light Heavyweight

Devin Clark vs Dequan Townsend

UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz ·Santa Ana Star Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Devin Clark
Dequan Townsend
59% 41%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 4"
79"
30
Age
Δ 4y
34
14-10
Career record
Δ 3 pp
21-13
L1
Current streak
L2
8
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Clark: 39 sig / 3 TD · Townsend: 6 sig / 0 TD
Devin Clark
Dequan Townsend
33
Sig strikes landed
31
55
Sig strikes attempted
62
56
Total strikes landed
39
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.5
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
223s
Control time
73s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Devin Clark

"Brown Bear"
14-10
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
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W UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
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L UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
—
W UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta
—
L UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Ti…
—
Blue corner
L2

Dequan Townsend

"The Tarantula"
21-13
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Do…
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L UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
—