Main
Flyweight
Rogerio Bontorin vs Ray Borg
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz
·Santa Ana Star Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Rogerio Bontorin
Ray Borg
63%
37%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 4"
63"
28
Age
Δ 1y
26
17-4
Career record
Δ 7 pp
14-5
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Bontorin: 9 sig / 0 TD ·
Borg: 35 sig / 10 TD
Rogerio Bontorin
Ray Borg
23
Sig strikes landed
16
44
Sig strikes attempted
40
39
Total strikes landed
35
1.0
Takedowns landed
2.6
2.1
Takedowns attempted
6.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
128s
Control time
315s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
27%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Rogerio Bontorin
17-4
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. M…
—
Blue corner
W1
Ray Borg
"The Tazmexican Devil"
14-5
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
—
L
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
—