Main
Welterweight
Diego Sanchez vs Michel Pereira
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz
·Santa Ana Star Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Diego Sanchez
Michel Pereira
38%
62%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
38
Age
Δ 12y
26
31-14
Career record
Δ 1 pp
32-15
L1
Current streak
L1
17
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
DQ · Round 3
Sanchez: 25 sig / 0 TD ·
Pereira: 53 sig / 2 TD
Diego Sanchez
Michel Pereira
27
Sig strikes landed
40
56
Sig strikes attempted
79
48
Total strikes landed
53
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.6
4.5
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.60
174s
Control time
79s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Diego Sanchez
"Nightmare"
31-14
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
38
In our database
17 fights · 8-9
Last 5
L
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
—
W
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
—
W
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pe…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lo…
—
Blue corner
L1
Michel Pereira
"Demolidor"
32-15
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gae…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—